Journal article

Niche models tell half the story: Spatial context and life-history traits influence species responses to global change

RM Swab, HM Regan, DA Keith, TJ Regan, MKJ Ooi

Journal of Biogeography | Published : 2012

Abstract

Aim While niche models are typically used to assess the vulnerability of species to climate change, they have been criticized for their limited assessment of threats other than climate change. We attempt to evaluate this limitation by combining niche models with life-history models to investigate the relative influence of climate change and a range of fire regimes on the viability of a long-lived plant population. Specifically, we investigate whether range shift due to climate change is a greater threat to an obligate seeding fire-prone shrub than altered fire frequency and how these two threatening processes might interact. Location Australian sclerophyll woodland and heathland. Methods The..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

Grants

Awarded by National Science Foundation graduate student research fellowship (NSF GRFP)


Awarded by National Science Foundation


Awarded by Linkage grants from the Australian Research Council


Awarded by Australian Research Council


Funding Acknowledgements

Thanks to Tony Auld, Andrew Denham and Berin Mackenzie for assistance with fieldwork and advice about species information. Many thanks to Hans Henrik Bruun for comments and critiques during the modelling process, and to Katherine Marske for assistance with publication preparation. This work was supported by the National Science Foundation East Asia Pacific Summer Institute grant (NSF EAPSI) and the Australian Academy of Science, a National Science Foundation graduate student research fellowship (NSF GRFP) under grant no. DGE0813967, and supplemental support from the Nordic Research Opportunity (NSF NRO) through the GRFP and the Danish National Research Foundation, all awarded to R. M. S. Additional support was provided by a grant from the National Science Foundation (NSF-DEB-0824708) awarded to H. M. R. and Linkage grants (LP0989537 and LP110100527) from the Australian Research Council awarded to D. A. K. and M.K.J.O.